Solar System Sizing & Design Calculations: A Step-by-Step Guide
📚 Solar Design Series — Part 3 of 4
Part 1: Why Solar Systems Fail | Part 2: Geographic Orientation & Site Assessment | Part 4: Installation, Wiring & Safety

You have assessed your site. You know your Peak Sun Hours, your panel orientation, and your shading profile. Now comes the question every client asks: how many panels do I need, how big should my batteries be, and what size inverter do I require?
This article walks through the complete design calculation process — from energy audit to final component specification — using real numbers and worked examples. By the end, you will be able to size a complete off-grid solar system from scratch.
Step 1: The Energy Audit — What Does Your Load Actually Need?
Every system design starts with the daily energy load in watt-hours (Wh/day). This is the total electrical energy your home or facility consumes in 24 hours. Get this number wrong and every other calculation in your design is built on a false foundation.
How to Calculate Your Load
For each electrical appliance:
Energy (Wh/day) = Power (W) × Hours Used Per Day
Sum all appliances to get your total daily energy requirement. Here is a worked example for a typical 3-bedroom home in Nairobi, Kenya:
| Appliance | Qty | Power (W) | Hours/Day | Energy (Wh/day) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LED Lights (15W) | 8 | 120 | 5 | 600 |
| TV (LED 40″) | 1 | 80 | 4 | 320 |
| Laptop | 2 | 65 | 6 | 780 |
| Phone Chargers | 4 | 10 | 2 | 80 |
| Refrigerator (efficient 150L) | 1 | 60 | 12* | 720 |
| WiFi Router | 1 | 10 | 16 | 160 |
| Fan (ceiling, efficient) | 2 | 50 | 8 | 800 |
| Water Pump (1/2 HP, intermittent) | 1 | 373 | 1 | 373 |
| Security Lights (exterior LED) | 4 | 15 | 8 | 480 |
| TOTAL | 4,313 Wh/day |
Add a Safety Margin
Real-world consumption always exceeds theoretical calculations. Apply a 10–20% design margin to account for:
- Appliances running slightly longer than estimated
- Future load additions (new appliances, extra lighting)
- Inverter inefficiency (~92–96% efficiency = 4–8% energy lost as heat)
- Wiring losses (~2–3%)
Design Load = 4,313 Wh/day × 1.20 = 5,176 Wh/day ≈ 5.2 kWh/day
AC vs DC Loads
Most household appliances are AC (alternating current) and run through the inverter. Some systems include 12V or 24V DC loads (USB chargers, LED strips, DC fans) that run directly from the battery — bypassing the inverter and eliminating its 4–8% conversion loss. Where possible, use DC-rated appliances for high-use, low-power loads.
Step 2: Panel Array Sizing
With your daily energy load established, you can now calculate the required solar panel array size.
The Core Formula
Array Size (Wp) = Daily Load (Wh) ÷ Peak Sun Hours (h) ÷ System Efficiency
Where System Efficiency accounts for real-world losses in the array itself:
- Temperature derating: Panels lose ~0.4%/°C above 25°C. In Nairobi (average cell temp ~45°C) = ~8% loss
- Dust and soiling: 2–5% loss (varies with cleaning frequency and location)
- Wiring and connection losses: 2–3%
- MPPT efficiency: ~97% (3% loss)
- Combined system efficiency factor: typically 0.75–0.82
Using our Nairobi example with worst-month PSH of 4.2 hours (July) and a system efficiency of 0.80:
Array Size = 5,200 Wh ÷ 4.2 h ÷ 0.80 = 1,548 Wp
Using 400W panels: 1,548 ÷ 400 = 3.87 panels → round up to 4 panels (1,600 Wp)
String Configuration
Panels must be wired to match the charge controller’s input voltage range. For a 24V system with panels having Voc = 48V and Vmp = 40V:
- 2 panels in series: Vmp = 80V (exceeds typical MPPT range for 24V system)
- 2 panels in parallel: Vmp = 40V, current doubles → suitable for 24V MPPT
- Best for this example: 2S×2P (2 strings of 2 panels in series) = 80V, current doubled — check MPPT specs
Rule: Always check that your string Voc (open circuit voltage) does not exceed the charge controller’s maximum input voltage, especially in cold morning conditions when Voc is highest.
| System Voltage | Typical MPPT Input Range | Recommended Vmp per String |
|---|---|---|
| 12V | 12–50V | 17–18V (1 panel) |
| 24V | 24–100V | 34–72V (1–2 panels) |
| 48V | 48–150V | 68–120V (2–3 panels) |
Step 3: Battery Bank Sizing
The battery bank stores energy to power loads at night and during cloudy days. Sizing is driven by two factors: days of autonomy (how many cloudy days the system must survive without sun) and depth of discharge (DoD) limits.
The Battery Sizing Formula
Battery Capacity (Ah) = (Load Wh/day × Autonomy Days) ÷ (System Voltage × DoD)
Days of Autonomy
For most residential off-grid systems in Africa: 2–3 days autonomy is standard. This covers typical cloudy spells without requiring an enormous (and expensive) battery bank. Critical systems (clinics, cold storage, telecom) may require 4–5 days.
Depth of Discharge by Battery Type
| Battery Type | Recommended Max DoD | Cycle Life at Recommended DoD | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flooded Lead-Acid (FLA) | 50% | 300–500 cycles | Cheapest upfront; requires maintenance (water top-up); vents hydrogen gas |
| Sealed AGM Lead-Acid | 50–60% | 400–600 cycles | Maintenance-free; better vibration resistance; moderate cost |
| Gel Lead-Acid | 50–70% | 500–800 cycles | Deep discharge tolerant; sensitive to overcharging |
| LiFePO4 Lithium | 80–90% | 3,000–6,000 cycles | Best value over lifetime; safest lithium chemistry; preferred for new installations |
Worked Example — 48V LiFePO4 Bank
Using our Nairobi 3-bedroom home: Load = 5,200 Wh/day, 2 days autonomy, 48V system, 85% DoD (LiFePO4):
Capacity (Ah) = (5,200 × 2) ÷ (48V × 0.85) = 10,400 ÷ 40.8 = 255 Ah at 48V
Use 2× 200Ah 48V LiFePO4 batteries in parallel (400Ah total) — this gives 2.8 days true autonomy at 85% DoD, with buffer for efficiency losses.
Alternatively: 16× 200Ah 3.2V LiFePO4 cells wired 16S (in series) = 51.2V nominal, which is the standard LiFePO4 48V bank configuration.
Step 4: Charge Controller Sizing

The charge controller sits between the solar array and the battery bank, regulating the charging process and protecting batteries from overcharge.
MPPT vs PWM — Choosing the Right Type
| Feature | PWM (Pulse Width Modulation) | MPPT (Maximum Power Point Tracking) |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | 70–80% | 93–97% |
| Panel voltage flexibility | Must match battery voltage ± | Accepts wide voltage range (up to 150V+) |
| Performance in partial shade | Poor | Good (tracks best power point) |
| Performance in cold/cloudy | Poor (loses panel voltage benefit) | Excellent |
| Cost | Low | Higher (but pays back quickly) |
| Best for | Small 12V systems <400W; tight budgets | Any system above 400W; all 24V/48V systems |
Diaspora Solar recommendation: Always use MPPT for systems above 400W. The efficiency gain of 15–25% over PWM pays for the cost difference within 12–18 months in African conditions.
Sizing the MPPT Controller
The required charge controller current rating:
MPPT Current (A) = Array Power (Wp) ÷ Battery Bank Voltage (V) × 1.25 (safety factor)
For our example: 1,600Wp ÷ 48V × 1.25 = 41.7A → use a 60A MPPT controller
Also verify the controller’s maximum PV input voltage is not exceeded by your string Voc (including cold temperature boost of ~10–15%).
Step 5: Inverter Sizing
The inverter converts DC battery power to AC for household appliances. Its size is determined by peak power demand — not average consumption.
Inverter Sizing Formula
Inverter Size (VA or W) = Sum of Simultaneously Running Loads × 1.25
Identify which loads will run at the same time at peak demand. In our Nairobi home, the realistic simultaneous peak load is:
- Fridge: 60W (running)
- Lights: 120W (all on)
- TV: 80W
- Laptops × 2: 130W
- Fan × 2: 100W
- Water pump start surge: 373W × 3 (surge = ~1,120W for 2–3 seconds)
Steady-state peak: 60 + 120 + 80 + 130 + 100 + 373 = 863W continuous
Surge: 863W − 373W + 1,120W = ~1,610W surge (2–3 seconds)
Inverter selection: 1,500W continuous / 3,000W surge inverter (most manufacturers rate surge at 2× continuous) — this covers our load with comfortable margin.
Inverter Types
| Type | Output Wave | Cost | Suitable For |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modified Sine Wave | Stepped approximation | Low | Basic resistive loads only (lights, simple fans). Damages motor windings, sensitive electronics — avoid for modern appliances |
| Pure Sine Wave | True sine wave | Moderate | All household appliances. Required for motors, refrigerators, laptops, medical equipment |
| Hybrid Inverter-Charger | Pure sine wave | Higher | Combines inverter + MPPT charger + grid/generator transfer switch in one unit. Best for most residential systems |
| Multi-Mode (Grid-tied with battery) | Pure sine wave | High | Grid-tied with battery backup; export to grid; maximises solar self-consumption |
Diaspora Solar recommendation: For off-grid and hybrid residential systems, use a Pure Sine Wave Hybrid Inverter-Charger (brands: Victron Multiplus, Growatt, Deye, Sunsynk). These simplify wiring, enable generator integration, and protect battery health with sophisticated charging algorithms.
Step 6: Wire Sizing & Voltage Drop
Undersized wiring is both dangerous (fire risk) and wasteful (energy lost as heat). Every cable in a solar system must be sized for two criteria simultaneously: current-carrying capacity (ampacity) and voltage drop.
Maximum Allowable Voltage Drop
- Panel to charge controller: ≤3% voltage drop
- Battery to inverter: ≤1% voltage drop (high current, short run)
- Inverter to distribution board: ≤2% voltage drop
Voltage Drop Formula
Cable CSA (mm²) = (2 × Length (m) × Current (A)) ÷ (Conductivity × Allowable Vdrop (V))
Where copper conductivity = 56 (S·m/mm²). Or use the simplified practical rule:
mm² = (Current (A) × Cable Length (m) × 0.04) ÷ Allowable % Voltage Drop
Worked Example — Battery to Inverter Cable
Inverter: 1,500W at 48V = 31.25A continuous. Cable run: 2m (battery to inverter). Allowable Vdrop: 1% of 48V = 0.48V
CSA = (2 × 2 × 31.25) ÷ (56 × 0.48) = 125 ÷ 26.9 = 4.6 mm² → use 6mm² cable (next standard size up)
| System Section | Current (A) | Run Length | Min Cable Size | Recommended |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel strings (1,600Wp, 4 panels, 2S×2P) | ~10A per string | 10m | 4mm² | 6mm² solar DC cable |
| Array combiner to MPPT (DC) | ~20A | 5m | 4mm² | 6mm² DC cable |
| MPPT to Battery Bank (DC) | 42A (MPPT rated) | 1m | 10mm² | 16mm² DC cable |
| Battery Bank to Inverter (DC) | 32A (1,500W÷48V) | 2m | 6mm² | 10mm² DC cable |
| Inverter AC output to Distribution Board | 7A (1,500W÷230V) | 5m | 2.5mm² | 2.5mm² AC cable |
Always use DC-rated cable for all DC circuits. Standard AC building wire is not rated for the sustained DC current and voltage characteristics of solar installations — it can arc, degrade, and cause fires in DC applications.
Step 7: Protection Devices
Every solar system requires overcurrent and fault protection. Omitting fuses and circuit breakers is one of the most dangerous mistakes in DIY installations — and a common cause of system fires.
| Location | Protection Device | Rating (for our example) | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Each panel string (+ve lead) | DC String Fuse | 15A | Protects string cable from reverse current faults |
| Array DC main | DC Isolator Switch | 32A / 100VDC | Safe array disconnection for maintenance |
| MPPT output (to battery) | DC Circuit Breaker | 63A | Overcurrent protection on charge cable |
| Battery main fuse (at battery terminals) | ANL or Class T Fuse | 100A | Critical: first protection for the battery — must be as close to battery as possible |
| Inverter DC input | DC Isolator | 80A / 100VDC | Inverter disconnection for maintenance |
| Inverter AC output | AC MCB | 16A | Output overcurrent and short circuit protection |
Complete System Summary — Nairobi 3-Bedroom Home

| Component | Specification | Quantity |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Panels | 400W Monocrystalline, Vmp 40V, Voc 48V | 4 panels (1,600Wp total) |
| Panel Configuration | 2 strings × 2 panels in series (2S×2P) | — |
| MPPT Charge Controller | 60A, 48V system, max PV input 150V | 1 unit |
| Battery Bank | 48V 200Ah LiFePO4, 2 units in parallel | 400Ah total (19.2 kWh usable at 85% DoD) |
| Inverter | Pure Sine Wave Hybrid, 1,500W cont./3,000W surge, 48V DC | 1 unit |
| Panel-to-MPPT Cable | 6mm² DC solar cable (red/black) | ~25m total |
| MPPT-to-Battery Cable | 16mm² DC cable | ~3m |
| Battery-to-Inverter Cable | 10mm² DC cable with lugs | ~5m |
| String Fuses | 15A DC blade fuse with holder (×2 strings) | 2 |
| Battery Main Fuse | 100A ANL fuse + holder | 1 |
| DC Isolators | 32A array / 80A inverter | 2 |
| Mounting Structure | Aluminium rail, roof clamps for metal sheet | Per roof layout |
Estimated System Cost Range (Kenya, 2026)
| Component | Estimated Cost (KES) |
|---|---|
| 4× 400W Monocrystalline Panels | KES 48,000 – 60,000 |
| 60A MPPT Charge Controller | KES 18,000 – 28,000 |
| 2× 200Ah 48V LiFePO4 Battery | KES 120,000 – 180,000 |
| 1,500W Pure Sine Hybrid Inverter | KES 25,000 – 40,000 |
| Cables, Fuses, Isolators, Connectors | KES 12,000 – 18,000 |
| Mounting Structure | KES 8,000 – 15,000 |
| Installation Labour | KES 15,000 – 25,000 |
| TOTAL ESTIMATE | KES 246,000 – 366,000 |
Prices are estimates based on Kenyan market rates (2026). Actual costs vary by brand, supplier, and exchange rate. Contact Diaspora Solar for a formal quote with current pricing.
What Comes Next: Installation, Wiring & Safety
With your system fully sized on paper, the next and final article in this series covers physical installation:
- Mounting panel frames and rails safely on different roof types
- DC wiring layout: correct polarity, conduit routing, labelling
- Grounding and earthing (critical for lightning protection in Africa)
- AC distribution board connection
- System commissioning and first-charge procedure
- Maintenance schedule: cleaning, terminal checks, capacity testing
← Part 1: Why Solar Systems Fail | ← Part 2: Geographic Orientation & Site Assessment
🔧 Design Calculators & Tools
Load & System Sizing
PVWatts Calculator — NREL
Input panel size, tilt, and azimuth for any location worldwide. Returns estimated monthly and annual energy output in kWh.
Read More →
PVGIS — EU Solar Tool
European Commission tool. More detailed than PVWatts for Africa. Provides full monthly energy profiles, optimal tilt, and temperature corrections.
Read More →
Victron MPPT Calculator
Official Victron tool to check string compatibility with any Victron MPPT controller. Prevents wiring mistakes that damage controllers.
Read More →
Battery & Cable Sizing
Battery University — Lithium & Lead-Acid Guides
In-depth, manufacturer-neutral reference on battery chemistry, DoD, cycle life, and charging profiles for all battery types used in solar.
Read More →
Cable Size Calculator — OmniCalculator
Free online voltage drop and cable sizing calculator. Input current, length, and allowable drop to get minimum cable CSA.
Read More →
Standards & Safety
IEC 60364 — Electrical Installations Standard
International standard covering wiring, protection, and safety for low-voltage electrical installations including solar systems.
Read More →
Kenya Solar Industry Association (KESIA)
Local Kenyan industry body. Publishes installer certification requirements, system standards, and grid connection regulations for Kenya.
Read More →
Component References
Victron Energy Documentation
Comprehensive technical manuals for MPPT controllers, inverter-chargers, and battery monitors. Industry-standard reference for off-grid system design.
Read More →
Growatt Product Specifications
Popular mid-range hybrid inverters and MPPT controllers widely used across Africa. Good value option with solid warranty support in the region.
Read More →
Off-Grid Africa Context
GOGLA — Off-Grid Solar Market Report
Annual report on the off-grid solar market in Africa and Asia. Essential reading for understanding quality standards, pricing trends, and consumer protection in the African solar market.
Read More →
Lighting Africa — IFC/World Bank
Quality standards and market data for solar products in Africa. Their verified product list helps identify trustworthy suppliers for standalone solar systems.
Read More →
🔧 Not sure about your appliance loads?
Use our free Off-Grid Solar Load Calculator — enter your appliances and daily usage hours, and we’ll calculate your exact Wh/day figure and send you a complete system design sized for your location.
📚 Solar Design Series
← Part 1 | ← Part 2 | You are reading Part 3 | Next: Part 4 — Installation, Wiring & Safety →
