Solar System Sizing

From Load List to Fully Sized System

Step-by-step solar system sizing using real engineering — not guesswork. The same method used by Maina Mumbi across East and West Africa for over 20 years.

“Most solar systems in East and West Africa are installed using guesswork — not engineering. Vendors sell kits that look impressive on paper but fail under real household loads.” — Maina Mumbi, Solar Prescription Initiative

Step 0

Choose Your System Type First

Before touching a calculator, match your situation to the right system type. This decision changes everything downstream.

System Type

Best For

Watch Out For

On-Grid Reliable grid areas, lower budgets No backup during outages
Off-Grid ✅ Rural areas, no grid access, full independence Higher upfront cost, more maintenance
Hybrid Unreliable grid + need backup Moderate cost, more complex
Rule of thumb: If you are in rural Kenya, Tanzania, Ghana, or Rwanda with no reliable grid power — design for off-grid from day one.

Step 1

Count Your Loads

Write down every device you plan to run. Find the wattage on the label or in the manual. Be honest — do not leave anything out.

Appliance Watts Qty Total W
LED Bulbs6W1590W
Ceiling Fans15W230W
Television50W150W
Chest Freezer200W1200W
Blender (surge only)1000W11000W ⚡
Running Load Total370W

Running Load

370W

(blender excluded)

Peak Load

1,370W

(blender included)

Step 2

Calculate Daily Energy Consumption

Multiply each device’s wattage by the hours you use it per day. This gives you Watt-hours (Wh) — the currency of solar sizing.

Formula

Device Wattage × Hours Per Day = Watt-hours (Wh)

Bulbs: 90W × 6 hrs

= 540 Wh

Fans: 30W × 8 hrs

= 240 Wh

TV: 50W × 6 hrs

= 300 Wh

Freezer: 200W × 10 hrs

= 2,000 Wh

Total Daily Energy 3,080 Wh ≈ 3.1 kWh/day

Step 3

Select the Right Inverter

Your inverter must handle the startup surge of your largest appliance. A fridge or pump draws 2–3× its running wattage at startup.

Peak load = 1,370W → Add 25% safety margin:

1,370 × 1.25 = 1,712W

→ Recommended: 2 kVA – 3 kVA pure sine wave inverter

⚠️ CRITICAL: Do NOT oversize your inverter

✗ High idle power drain

Drains your battery even with nothing connected.

✗ Low-load inefficiency

At partial load, efficiency drops — you waste energy as heat.

✗ Battery damage

Voltage drops and deep cycling shorten battery lifespan.

✗ Less money for batteries

Bigger inverter = less budget for batteries = shorter backup.

✅ Rule: Match your inverter to your actual peak load.

Step 4

Size Your Solar Panels

Formula

Panel Power = Daily Energy ÷ Peak Sun Hours ÷ System Efficiency

3,080 Wh ÷ 5 PSH ÷ 0.80 = 770W minimum

Peak Sun Hours by Location

6.5

Lodwar, Kenya

5.5

Nairobi / Colorado

5.2

Mombasa / Dar es Salaam

4.8

Eldoret, Kenya

6.5

Southwest US (AZ/NV)

5.0

Southeast US (TX/FL)

4.2

Midwest/Northeast US

3.5

Seattle / Pacific NW

Recommendation: Install 800–1,000W to account for real-world losses — dust, cloud cover, wiring resistance. Example: 4 × 250W panels.

Step 5

Select Your Charge Controller

Always use MPPT — never PWM for systems above 400W

✓ MPPT (Recommended)

  • Extracts up to 30% more power
  • Converts excess voltage into current
  • Required for any LiFePO₄ setup
  • Best for any system over 400W

PWM (Small Systems Only)

  • Simpler and cheaper
  • Reduces panel output to battery voltage
  • Fine for systems under 400W
  • Less efficient in low-light
MPPT calculation for this example: 1,000W panels on a 24V system = 1000 ÷ 24 × 1.2 = 50A MPPT minimum. Recommend: 50A–60A MPPT.

Step 6

Size Your Battery Bank

Your battery bank must carry you through cloudy days without solar. Design for 1–2 days of autonomy minimum.

Formula

Battery Ah = (Daily Energy × Days) ÷ (Voltage × DoD × Efficiency)

Example (1 day, 24V, 80% DoD LiFePO₄, 90% eff.):

= 3,080 × 1 ÷ (24 × 0.80 × 0.90) = 178 Ah @ 24V

→ Round up to: 200Ah @ 24V LiFePO₄ OR 2 × 200Ah @ 12V in series

80–90%

LiFePO₄ Usable Depth

50%

Lead-Acid Max Usable Depth

3,000+

LiFePO₄ Cycle Life

Full System Summary

Your Complete Sized System

Component Recommended Size
Solar Panels800W – 1,000W (4 × 250W)
Inverter2 kVA – 3 kVA Pure Sine Wave
Charge Controller40A – 60A MPPT
Battery Bank200Ah @ 24V LiFePO₄
Daily Energy3,080 Wh (≈ 3.1 kWh/day)
System Voltage24V DC

“Solar system sizing is not guesswork. It is engineering. Every undersized battery, every oversized inverter, every wrong cable choice — has a victim.” — Maina Mumbi

Quick Reference

System Size by Use Case

Scale Use Case Rough Specs
Small Lights, phone, laptop, fan 200–400W panels, 500–1,000Wh battery, 1,000W inverter
Medium Fridge, lights, fans, TV 600–1,500W panels, 2,000–5,000Wh battery, 2,000W inverter
Large Full home, washer, AC, pump 3,000W+ panels, 10,000–20,000Wh battery, 3,000–6,000W inverter

Want Maina to Size Your System Live?

Join the Solar Prescription Session

45 minutes. Real calculations. Maina walks you through a live sizing exercise using your specific location data — not a generic template.